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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpbeachboy4pleaseplease123RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)68% (43–20, n=63)49% (346–353, n=699)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$5.8M-$857K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #92PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (84 of 131 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93MLB −1 pts, n=694—
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)30% (won 57% of 63)38% (won 43% of 266)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)54% (won 51% of 115)61% (won 54% of 426)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)14% (won 86% of 29)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpbeachboy4pleaseplease123RN1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K——No $7.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $4.1K——Matteo Arnaldi $445
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.2K——Over $130
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K——Yes $333
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $341
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57——Over $45
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14——No $19
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $20——Over $8
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $11K
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.2K——Under $3.9K
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $5.4K
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.6K——No $232
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Under $641
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $579——Under $799
Will Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $403——No $44
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $167——Under $147
Al Nassr Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $140——No $6
Spread: Al Nassr Club (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor $32——Pakhtakor $69
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger
same side · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo
Ian Luca Vertberger $2——Ian Luca Vertberger $48