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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadoxndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)46% (1335–1536, n=2871)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$38K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #353PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus66% (100 of 152 open)no open consensus position70% (16 of 23 open)72% (108 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 751 at avg 70¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 56)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 161)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 110)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)56% (won 100% of 424)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677LightParadoxndb1
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $3—
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $742—Yes $7—
Riga FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11—Yes $39—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $30K—No $53—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.2K——No $18K
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.4K—No $53—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $81—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $100—
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $797—No $152—
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $628—No $3—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $197—Over $197—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $10—
Club Portugalete vs. Real Unión Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8—Over $85—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $43—Over $41—
Will CD Pamplona win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $72—No $4—