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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)65% (4157–2202, n=6359)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #92PM monthly #980
Sides with the consensus72% (97 of 135 open)no open consensus position73% (53 of 73 open)61% (72 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $73
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $5.0K——Magic $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $80
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $1.7K——Magic $8
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $1.0K——Magic $15
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $649——Maria Sakkari $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $112
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361——Over $154
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $60——Under $310
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Athletic Club $116
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $16——James Madison $345
Spread: Warriors (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $287——Warriors $6
Spread: Heat (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $260——Heat $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $213——Over $6
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $174——Over $39
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $158——Warriors $44
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $136——Heat $48
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
Predators $80——Avalanche $9
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $54——Warriors $31
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 9.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2——Under $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $53
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $8.9K——Suns $60
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $3.7K——Suns $80
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $105
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $2.2K——Suns $13
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $1.8K——Suns $74
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.4K——Magic $21
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.1K——Harold Mayot $21
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $252
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $586——Under $2
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $502——Under $26
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $157——Florida Atlantic $213
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $334——Heat $30
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $147——Warriors $52
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $162——Dolphins $11
Predators vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $32——Over $76
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
same side · consensus Predators
Avalanche $78——Avalanche $22
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $45——Tommy Paul $15