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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6656–6887, n=13543) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (17 of 47 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (87 of 138 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | — | Under $312 |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | — | Under $2.3K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | — | Under $3 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $727 | — | — | No $94 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $179 | — | — | No $15 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | — | — | Jets $255 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $1.2K | — | — | Falcons $984 |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.1K | — | — | Cowboys $23 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Steelers $726 | — | — | Steelers $51 |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $207 | — | — | Yes $298 |
| Elche CF leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $69 | — | — | Yes $246 |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $47 | — | — | Yes $183 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | — | Yes $81 |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7 | — | — | Over $6 |