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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Herdonia | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (30 of 55 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (97 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $9.3K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $1.1K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $1.7K | — | Lions $3.2K |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.5K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $11 | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $435 | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $650 | — | Jets $192 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $7.0K | — | Titans $8 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | — | Over $718 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars same side · consensus Jaguars | Colts $792 | — | Colts $116 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $688 | — | Under $136 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $47 | — | Over $526 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $456 | — | Buccaneers $23 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $5 | — | Buccaneers $379 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $23 | — | Under $228 |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $162 | — | Under $76 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $9 | — | Magic $161 |