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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ImJustKenBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)28% (416–1096, n=1512)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #800 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (93 of 143 open)72% (73 of 102 open)52% (62 of 119 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won38% of 1655 at avg 33¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢62% (won 6% of 1022)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 63% of 95)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 80% of 81)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 457)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketImJustKenBreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.1KYes $4.7K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.3KNo $590—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7KYes $4.1K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14Yes $14K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14Yes $164—