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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LesterDiamond | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3256–2591, n=5847) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $148K | $11.0M | -$352K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #713 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −3 pts, n=392 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 3649 at avg 65¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 2% of 940) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 48% of 265) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 61% of 383) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2061) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.