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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lolakis | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (569–259, n=828) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $10.6M | $3.2M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #868 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=21 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 6% of 323) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 40% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 105) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 98% of 340) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.