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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Melody626 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (666–405, n=1071) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $988K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #567 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (30 of 37 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (91 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 938 at avg 62¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 17% of 78) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 58% of 119) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 83% of 367) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 97% of 374) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Melody626 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | — | Ravens $727 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | — | Steelers $91 |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | — | Steelers $3.6K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | — | Jets $257 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | No $88K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | No $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | — | Cowboys $21 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | — | Cowboys $644 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | Yes $172K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $35K | — | Bills $37 |