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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (161–47, n=208) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (26 of 31 open) | 62% (16 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=27 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 33) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 79% of 19) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 71% of 31) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 94% of 102) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.7K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $73K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $138K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | No $112K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | Yes $81K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $678 | — | Over $527 |