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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4802, n=10065)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus81% (46 of 57 open)70% (57 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $9.4KBills $387K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $40KCardinals $58K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $42K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $405K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $362Yes $2.5K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $171Yes $2.2K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164—