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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus76% (52 of 68 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $9.1KBrowns $255K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $38KCardinals $59K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $39K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $16K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $28——
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Falcons $5.2K——Buccaneers $1.6K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $990
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.3K——Bills $988
Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Falcons $1.4K——Buccaneers $1.5K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $2.1K——Ravens $295
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $407K——
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $31K——Buccaneers $4.9K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $3.0K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $2.8K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192Yes $2.5K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $967——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334Yes $2.3K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $118——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $193——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Under $65
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164——