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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Nooserac | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (5263–4808, n=10071) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #40 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (52 of 68 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (101 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −1 pts, n=164 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 19% of 1314) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 46% of 3582) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 3477) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 85% of 1664) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Nooserac | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $9.1K | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $38K | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.5K | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $31K | — | — | Falcons $1.8K |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.8K | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.5K | No $16K | — | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $17K | — | — | Titans $1.3K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | Yes $28 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $8.2K | — | — | Ravens $1.7K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $5.2K | — | — | Buccaneers $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Vikings (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $410 | — | — | Lions $2.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $935 |
| Spread: Bengals (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $1.3K | — | — | Titans $302 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $13K | No $407K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | Yes $20K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $844 | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars same side · consensus Jaguars | Colts $17K | — | — | Colts $116 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | — | Under $6.9K |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.8K | Yes $3.0K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | — | — | Over $2.7K |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $192 | Yes $2.5K | — | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.7K | Yes $967 | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $334 | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | Yes $118 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $193 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $230 | — | — | Buccaneers $379 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $56 | Yes $164 | — | — |