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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| PMTraderAdam | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (693–142, n=835) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (48 of 54 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (82 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −5 pts, n=42 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 932 at avg 76¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 106) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 50% of 60) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 71% of 92) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 96% of 674) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | PMTraderAdam | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $36K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | Yes $27K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $782 | — | — | No $10K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | — | — | Yes $1.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3 | — | — | No $598 |