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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN100gringo00primmCORGII
Record (consensus markets)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #181PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus53% (64 of 120 open)no open consensus position71% (15 of 21 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5497)0%41% (won 99% of 366)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN100gringo00primmCORGII
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $18K—Ravens $696—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K—
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K—
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Bills $4.0K—Ravens $295—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $1.1K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.2K—Over $8—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $434—Under $65—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $28K—Bills $395—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.2K—Under $261—
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $2.5K—Bills $282—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $93—Bills $662—