← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Reformedx | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (838–776, n=1614) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #903 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (8 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 56% (79 of 141 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 834 at avg 55¢, ROI +43% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 97% of 39) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 55% (won 99% of 462) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 99% of 135) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Reformedx | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $1.0K | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $2.3K | — | Jets $11K | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $43 | Raiders $17K |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus Legacy | Legacy $4.2K | TheMongolz $2.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.0K | — | Under $2.2K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $28K | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | Over $440 | — |