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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SPLPB | joseph00677 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 15% (364–2034, n=2398) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $5.3M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #408 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (50 of 79 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 90% (149 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Entertainment −16 pts, n=87 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 3% of 1041) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 27% of 120) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 50% of 114) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 82% of 303) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.