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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SlowroastedRN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)91% (1696–167, n=1863)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$27K$13.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus81% (34 of 42 open)56% (79 of 140 open)72% (77 of 107 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=83——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won92% of 2039 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 7% of 121)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 20% of 15)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 55% of 22)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up92% (won 99% of 1881)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSlowroastedRN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $43Raiders $17K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—