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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| StudyPrediction | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4359–3146, n=7505) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (23 of 31 open) | 63% (91 of 145 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=82 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 6575 at avg 51¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 13% of 1875) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 47% of 1468) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 65% of 1105) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 93% of 2127) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | StudyPrediction | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $189 | — | — | No $184K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |