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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tenebrus7 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2110–687, n=2797) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $128K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (110 of 126 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=386 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3186 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 541) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 324) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2133) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.