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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (289–151, n=440) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.6M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (44 of 53 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 53% (63 of 118 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=86 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 424 at avg 61¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 9% of 123) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 49% of 47) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 83% of 41) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 91% of 213) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71K | No $184K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |