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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Valen9CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)63% (347–206, n=553)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$235K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #639 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus64% (32 of 50 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −16 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 129)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 42% of 59)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 72% of 67)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 93% of 403)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketValen9CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $47K——No $184K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $69K——Yes $1.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K——Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23K——Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $38K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7.6K——No $24K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.7K——No $22K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.1K——No $10K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.8K——Yes $2.2K