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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$417K$5.8M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus62% (68 of 110 open)100% (1 of 1 open)71% (15 of 21 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1814NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1995)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5894)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5883)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3792)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $4.3K——Chiefs $152K
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $39——Commanders $7.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7K—Over $2.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K—No $2.6K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $429—Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $91—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $319—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $16—Felipe de Dios $1—
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5.3K——Commanders $259K
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Commanders $3.5K——Commanders $71K
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.4K——Commanders $45K
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $24—Ozan Baris $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $164—Over $3.0K—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $3—Jose Pereira $129—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Nicolas Bruna $73—Nicolas Bruna $17—