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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| WordleAddict | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (574–404, n=978) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $672K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #317 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (14 of 17 open) | 53% (63 of 119 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −12 pts, n=45 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1140 at avg 50¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 383) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 151) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 64% of 209) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 94% of 397) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | WordleAddict | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $72K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $28K | Bills $378K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $36K | — | No $40K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $30K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |