← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aaabbb | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (449–282, n=731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $210K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #766 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 26% of 123) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 59% of 111) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 91% of 186) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 93% of 232) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aaabbb | CORGII | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | — | No $252K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.9K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.0K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $16K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | — | Yes $4.4K |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | — | Yes $193 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | Yes $967 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $400 | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $128 | — | — | Yes $164 |