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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888ndb1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)58% (209–152, n=361)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$4.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #997PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus35% (16 of 46 open)73% (72 of 99 open)58% (90 of 156 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888ndb1RN1S-Works
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $6.2K—Rams $8.8K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4K—Under $6.4K—
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $2.8K—Chiefs $6.5K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.2K—Over $5.6K—
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $875—Chiefs $5.6K—
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $920—Chiefs $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $3.4K—Eagles $1.1K—
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $1.5K—Chiefs $2.8K—
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $2.3K—Lions $1.8K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.6K—Over $99—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $7—Browns $3.5K—
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.0K—Over $1.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $771—Cowboys $1.8K—
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $815—Chiefs $1.7K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $155—Over $1.9K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $691—Under $1.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $92—Cowboys $1.9K—
Jets vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $38—Over $1.8K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $271—Chiefs $626—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79—Over $657—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $26K—Eagles $95—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $3.5K—Eagles $3.2K—
Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $2.7K—Rams $2.3K—
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Dolphins $1.2K—Dolphins $612—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $445—Over $1.2K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 36.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $459—Under $8—