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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bosshog | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (849–308, n=1157) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $225K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (21 of 34 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (73 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=65 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 185) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 103) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 157) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 96% of 934) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bosshog | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | No $40K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | — | — | Yes $28K |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $176 | — | — | No $16K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $775 | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $546 | — | — | Yes $28 |