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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bosshog | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (849–308, n=1157) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $225K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #1000 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (21 of 34 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=65 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 1379 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 13% of 185) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 46% of 103) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 157) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 96% of 934) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bosshog | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $730 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $176 | — | No $16K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $775 | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $546 | — | Yes $28 | — |