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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cocococococoBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (1063–1038, n=2101)45% (542–652, n=1194)56% (101–79, n=180)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL$101K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #883 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (118 of 158 open)90% (144 of 160 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=231———
Settled positions, side won50% of 3252 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 10% of 715)10% (won 82% of 56)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 937)36% (won 98% of 198)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 60% of 894)35% (won 99% of 191)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 90% of 706)19% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcocococococoBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $516No $292K——
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $202K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $32K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10KYes $270K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3KNo $117K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $148Yes $66K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $299Yes $32K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $588Yes $14K——