Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cocococococoBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)51% (1051–1030, n=2081)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$97K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #883 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus80% (117 of 147 open)71% (58 of 82 open)65% (86 of 132 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=231———
Settled positions, side won50% of 3250 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 10% of 715)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 937)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 60% of 894)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 90% of 704)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcocococococoBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $300KSteelers $51—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259KSteelers $1.6K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $202K——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $105KJets $268—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $38K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $32KCowboys $23—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $2.7KCowboys $611—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.9KYes $274K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $88K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $706Over $1.1K