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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (697–810, n=1507) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (39 of 65 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | debased | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $855 | — | — | No $250K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | — | No $202K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $3.6K | — | Commanders $161K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $750 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $609 | — | — | Yes $14K |