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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| debased | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (693–815, n=1508) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #982 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (38 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=403 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 1303 at avg 36¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 60% (won 4% of 778) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 47% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 59) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 96% of 404) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | debased | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $622 | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $48K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $472 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $831 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $855 | — | No $252K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.0K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $750 | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $671 | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $143 | — | Yes $4.1K | — |