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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ethBELIVER | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $304K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #446 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 73% (79 of 108 open) | 58% (84 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 24 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 25% of 4) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 8) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ethBELIVER | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | Yes $82K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $109 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $27K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | Yes $56K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $56K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |