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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hi774cBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (3866–3699, n=7565)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$142K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #256PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (26 of 44 open)70% (57 of 82 open)62% (86 of 139 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 3516 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 247)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 1924)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 1126)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 99% of 219)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethi774cBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $1.1KBrowns $300KSteelers $51
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $387KRavens $703
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259KSteelers $3.4K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $105KJets $255
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5.7K—Over $30K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $32KCowboys $23
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $2.7KCowboys $611
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.1K—Under $1.2K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Under $228
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $1.7K—Hamburger SV $8.0K
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Under $6.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.1K—Over $706
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $981—Under $3.0K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $561—Under $2.0K