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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hideo | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (239–62, n=301) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $120K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=116 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 341 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 8% of 12) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 14) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 25) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 85% (won 92% of 290) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hideo | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $86K | — | — | No $202K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | — | — | No $250K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $92K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.5K | — | — | No $34K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $433 | Commanders $161K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K |