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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677pagliacci4primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (10–13, n=23)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$11K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position96% (22 of 23 open)51% (20 of 39 open)56% (82 of 147 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677pagliacci4primmRN1
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $47KLions $2.2K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $285Rams $11K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $5.1K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $98Over $5.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Colts $94Cowboys $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.8K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.5K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $722
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $579
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $923
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14