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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lpgb | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (187–502, n=689) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $19.0M | $3.2M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | was PM monthly #715 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (97 of 121 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 89% (146 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=42 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 79% (won 0% of 204) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 13% of 8) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 62% of 13) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 33) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.