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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lpgb | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (188–510, n=698) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $13.4M | $3.2M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (93 of 119 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (148 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=42 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 79% (won 0% of 204) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 13% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 62% of 13) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 33) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.