Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	lpgb	joseph00677	surfandturf	BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)	27% (187–502, n=689)	50% (10–10, n=20)	52% (273–252, n=525)	45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL	$27K	$5.3M	$4.1M	$10.6M
Tracked as	PM monthly #152	PM monthly #2	was PM monthly #326	PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus	81% (93 of 115 open)	no open consensus position	0% (0 of 2 open)	89% (146 of 164 open)
Strongest topics	none with 10+ settled	Soccer +22 pts n=11, ROI +33%	MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10% NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic	MLB −4 pts, n=42	—	NFL −11 pts, n=58	—
Settled positions, side won	16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7%	59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%	53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢	79% (won 0% of 204)	12% (won 0% of 2)	20% (won 12% of 109)	10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢	3% (won 13% of 8)	6% (won 0% of 1)	21% (won 46% of 114)	36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢	5% (won 62% of 13)	65% (won 73% of 11)	33% (won 60% of 176)	35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up	13% (won 91% of 33)	18% (won 67% of 3)	26% (won 82% of 137)	19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	lpgb	joseph00677	surfandturf	BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No	No $297	—	—	Yes $32K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	No $986	—	—	Yes $6.8K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $16	—	—	Yes $5.7K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $11	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $5.0K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $12	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $9	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $9	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $2	—	—	Yes $2.1K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $722
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $67
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $46
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	—	Yes $11
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	—	Yes $9