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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mombilBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)59% (1083–758, n=1841)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$504K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #707 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus70% (45 of 64 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 10% of 1032)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 52% of 250)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 70% of 255)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 95% of 583)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmombilBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $592No $102K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19KYes $77K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9KYes $37K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7.3KYes $272K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $994Yes $28K——
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $8.1KNo $10K——
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.4KYes $2.2K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $574Yes $4.6K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $453Yes $4.7K——