← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | -$6.6M | $11.0M | $194K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (49 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.