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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (990–573, n=1563)66% (4115–2162, n=6277)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #105PM monthly #896PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (82 of 111 open)67% (122 of 182 open)61% (35 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1Pan9XRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Casper Ruud $35Jan-Lennard Struff $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $41Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48Over $1.5K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21No $1.1K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $24Over $393
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $26Over $360
W35 Orlando, FL: Jana Hossam Salah vs Briana Szabo
opposite sides · consensus Briana Szabo
—Briana Szabo $14Jana Hossam Salah $194
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—Sunderland AFC $19GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $62Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $46Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17No $11
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $96No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $19K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $20Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $30Yes $12K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13Under $8.8K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $77Carole Monnet $5.3K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $45Yes $4.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $44Under $2.4K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $16Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $30Under $1.3K
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
same side · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—SK Iberia 1999 $17SK Iberia 1999 $862
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $10Over $675
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $15No $109
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $35Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10Yes $47
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AZ
—AZ $31AZ $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $14Yes $7