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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (989–573, n=1562)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #90was PM monthly #983PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (27 of 32 open)71% (54 of 76 open)58% (87 of 150 open)56% (42 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1Pan9XRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $304Jaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $31Jaguars $1.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $58Jaguars $2.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Franco Roncadelli $3Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $53Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $85Over $1.5K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $8Warriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $25Jaguars $166
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $3James Madison $95
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K——
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $13—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $16—
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $38Jaguars $1.2K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-2.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $3Florida Atlantic $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
——UTSA $34UTSA $1.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $3Canucks $867
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
——Oilers $46Oilers $675
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $36Under $630
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $112No $529
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $94Under $419
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $89Florida Atlantic $402
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $25Over $413
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $76Under $353
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $12Under $326
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $59Southern Miss $245
Spread: UTSA (-4.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $60Florida Atlantic $225
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $30Over $227
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $204
Spread: South Carolina State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Howard
——Howard $33Howard $191
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $16Under $170
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $28Warriors $110
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $40Warriors $97
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $100Under $13
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $12Canucks $95
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
——Oilers $87Oilers $10
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
——Penguins $24Penguins $73
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $50Jaguars $44
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $51Southern Miss $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $80Yes $7
Spread: UTSA (-16.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $26Florida Atlantic $37
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $30Over $9