Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)68% (5536–2598, n=8134)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$22K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #108was PM monthly #979PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (83 of 118 open)74% (75 of 101 open)68% (56 of 82 open)62% (37 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Pan9XRN1
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
opposite sides · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K—Jessica Pegula $28Coco Gauff $58K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $4.3K—Pelicans $159Clippers $35K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $69No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $55Over $1.7K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
opposite sides · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Sebastian Dominko $24Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Clippers $8.0K—Pelicans $39Clippers $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $46Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $300Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $81Yes $7
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.9K—Under $6Over $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $106Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $63Under $1.4K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K—Under $5Over $204
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $106—Clippers $158Clippers $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $95—Over $39Under $1.1K
Spread: Heat (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Heat $64—Kings $49Kings $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $116No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—No $59Yes $60
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Pelicans $256—Clippers $154Pelicans $540
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Heat (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $2.9K—Kings $91Kings $854
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.5K—Clippers $58Clippers $819
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $35Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $56Buccaneers $17K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.9K——Over $106
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.8K—Over $13—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Heat $149Kings $3.3K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.0K——Over $84
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K—No $243—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Kings $216Heat $1.7K
Spread: Heat (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $25Kings $1.8K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $41—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $922—Under $49—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $367—Over $152—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $199—Over $7—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $175—
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
——Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $22UT Arlington Mavericks $61
Spread: Heat (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Heat $20—Kings $56—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6——Over $29
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $587——Keisuke Saitoh $24K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $1.3KBears $20K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $57Bears $10K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $97Buccaneers $9.2K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $797——Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $62Bears $5.3K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $62Buccaneers $4.7K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.1K——Under $570