← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | surfandturf | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (877–461, n=1338) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.8M | $4.1M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (52 of 77 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 90% (148 of 165 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.