Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nonkenny90BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)91% (4664–457, n=5121)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$87K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #959PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus95% (100 of 105 open)72% (74 of 103 open)63% (97 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +7 pts n=36, ROI +16%
  • Science +6 pts n=33, ROI +13%
  • NFL +3 pts n=40, ROI +1%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicFinance −3 pts, n=168——
Settled positions, side won93% of 5637 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 8% of 39)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 30% of 43)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 57% of 134)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up96% (won 95% of 5421)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnonkenny90BreakTheBankRN1
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.8KNo $184K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $36KYes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7.2KYes $21K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643