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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pantomimeRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)55% (850–683, n=1533)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$261K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #481 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)58% (85 of 147 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=111——
Settled positions, side won51% of 1700 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 10% of 729)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 183)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 65% of 175)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 97% of 613)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpantomimeRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $109Raiders $17K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $771—Yes $38K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7—Yes $28K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K