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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$243K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus58% (18 of 31 open)53% (57 of 108 open)no open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $192Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14Over $7.0K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $2.6K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4K—Cardinals $1.1K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1Under $1.0K——
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2Under $643——
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10Yes $108——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8No $26——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1No $26K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $3.0K——
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5No $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18Over $2.4K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $10No $516——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7Over $382——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13Yes $10——