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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| purplegatto | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5113–5034, n=10147) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.8M | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 54% (63 of 116 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4351 at avg 62¢, ROI +20% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 87% of 246) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 927) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1692) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 100% of 1486) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | purplegatto | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | — | No $184K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32K | — | — | No $10K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.3K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | — | Yes $182 |