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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2310–1925, n=4235) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (43 of 82 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $28K | — | — | Jets $284 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $19K | — | — | Bills $395 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.3K | — | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.4K | — | — | Bills $2.7K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | — | Under $2.8K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | — | — | Under $2.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $6 | — | — | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | — | Under $575 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $125 | — | — | Ravens $295 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $56 | — | — | Under $261 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $43 | — | — | Under $65 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $5.3K | — | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $4 | — | — | Bills $2.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.4K | — | — | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $48 | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $78 | — | — | Over $8 |